Identifying the impact of COVID-19 on health systems and lessons for future emergency preparedness: A stakeholder analysis in Kenya

The coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) has triggered a public health and economic crisis in high and low resource settings since the beginning of 2020. With the first case being discovered on 12th March 2020, Kenya has responded by using health and non-health strategies to mitigate the direct and indirect impact of the disease on its population. However, this has had positive and negative implications for the country's overall health system. This paper aimed to understand the pandemic's impact and develop lessons for future response by identifying the key challenges and opportunities Kenya faced during the pandemic. We conducted a qualitative study with 15 key informants, purposefully sampled for in-depth interviews from September 2020 to February 2021. We conducted direct content analysis of the transcripts to understand the stakeholder's views and perceptions of how COVID-19 has affected the Kenyan healthcare system. Most of the respondents noted that Kenya's initial response was relatively good, especially in controlling the pandemic with the resources it had at the time. This included relaying information to citizens, creating technical working groups and fostering multisectoral collaboration. However, concerns were raised regarding service disruption and impact on reproductive health, HIV, TB, and non-communicable diseases services;poor coordination between the national and county governments;shortage of personal protective equipment and testing kits;and strain of human resources for health. Effective pandemic preparedness for future response calls for improved investments across the health system building blocks, including;human resources for health, financing, infrastructure, information, leadership, service delivery and medical products and technologies. These strategies will help build resilient health systems and improve self-reliance, especially for countries transitioning from donor aid such as Kenya in the event of a pandemic.

Perspectives of frontline health workers on transition from development assistance for health in Ghana: A qualitative study

Many Low-income countries depend on development assistance for health (DAH) to finance the health sector. The transition of these countries to middle-income status has led to reduction in effective aid from development partners while these countries are expected to graduate from global funding agencies such as Gavi the vaccine alliance, with implications for service delivery. The aim of this study was to explore the perspectives of frontline health workers regarding the implications of Ghana's transition to middle-income status on service delivery, the likely impact and opportunities it presents to the country. This exploratory qualitative study employed in-depth interviews to collect data from 16 health workers at three hospitals in the Greater Accra Region;one at the regional level and two at the district level. The study was conducted from December 2019 to July 2020. Data from interviews were transcribed, coded and analysed using thematic analysis in NVivo Qualitative Analysis Software version 12. The level of awareness among frontline workers about the transition and decline in DAH was generally low. Nonetheless, frontline health workers perceived that the country seems inadequately prepared for transition as donors continue to be major financiers for the sector and even for emergencies such as the current COVID-19 global pandemic. Potential challenges facilities would face due to transition may include difficulty in funding health programs, human resource challenges and delays in logistics and medicines. The implications for these will be poor health outcomes, defective monitoring and evaluation, and lapses in training programs. In addition, the perceived barriers to transition identified were poor management of resources, political interference and lack of technical expertise. While opportunities such as improvement of the health sector prioritization and efficiency, private sector involvement and autonomy could be gained. Gaps in the health intervention monitoring resulting from DAH transition could pose affect health outcomes, particularly in respect of HIV, tuberculosis and malaria. The country's preparedness to transition from DAH could be better improved with development of a clear transition plan agreed by stakeholders, including government and in-country development partners. For the health sector, the eligibility for DAH transition should not simply be based on economic growth, but importantly on a country's ability to sustain ongoing and upcoming health programs.

Identifying the impact of COVID-19 on health systems and lessons for future emergency preparedness: A stakeholder analysis in Kenya.

The coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19) has triggered a public health and economic crisis in high and low resource settings since the beginning of 2020. With the first case being discovered on 12th March 2020, Kenya has responded by using health and non-health strategies to mitigate the direct and indirect impact of the disease on its population. However, this has had positive and negative implications for the country's overall health system. This paper aimed to understand the pandemic's impact and develop lessons for future response by identifying the key challenges and opportunities Kenya faced during the pandemic. We conducted a qualitative study with 15 key informants, purposefully sampled for in-depth interviews from September 2020 to February 2021. We conducted direct content analysis of the transcripts to understand the stakeholder's views and perceptions of how COVID-19 has affected the Kenyan healthcare system. Most of the respondents noted that Kenya's initial response was relatively good, especially in controlling the pandemic with the resources it had at the time. This included relaying information to citizens, creating technical working groups and fostering multisectoral collaboration. However, concerns were raised regarding service disruption and impact on reproductive health, HIV, TB, and non-communicable diseases services; poor coordination between the national and county governments; shortage of personal protective equipment and testing kits; and strain of human resources for health. Effective pandemic preparedness for future response calls for improved investments across the health system building blocks, including; human resources for health, financing, infrastructure, information, leadership, service delivery and medical products and technologies. These strategies will help build resilient health systems and improve self-reliance, especially for countries transitioning from donor aid such as Kenya in the event of a pandemic.

Estimated Global Proportions of Individuals With Persistent Fatigue, Cognitive, and Respiratory Symptom Clusters Following Symptomatic COVID-19 in 2020 and 2021.

Importance: Some individuals experience persistent symptoms after initial symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection (often referred to as Long COVID). Objective: To estimate the proportion of males and females with COVID-19, younger or older than 20 years of age, who had Long COVID symptoms in 2020 and 2021 and their Long COVID symptom duration. Design, Setting, and Participants: Bayesian meta-regression and pooling of 54 studies and 2 medical record databases with data for 1.2 million individuals (from 22 countries) who had symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection. Of the 54 studies, 44 were published and 10 were collaborating cohorts (conducted in Austria, the Faroe Islands, Germany, Iran, Italy, the Netherlands, Russia, Sweden, Switzerland, and the US). The participant data were derived from the 44 published studies (10 501 hospitalized individuals and 42 891 nonhospitalized individuals), the 10 collaborating cohort studies (10 526 and 1906), and the 2 US electronic medical record databases (250 928 and 846 046). Data collection spanned March 2020 to January 2022. Exposures: Symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection. Main Outcomes and Measures: Proportion of individuals with at least 1 of the 3 self-reported Long COVID symptom clusters (persistent fatigue with bodily pain or mood swings; cognitive problems; or ongoing respiratory problems) 3 months after SARS-CoV-2 infection in 2020 and 2021, estimated separately for hospitalized and nonhospitalized individuals aged 20 years or older by sex and for both sexes of nonhospitalized individuals younger than 20 years of age. Results: A total of 1.2 million individuals who had symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection were included (mean age, 4-66 years; males, 26%-88%). In the modeled estimates, 6.2% (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 2.4%-13.3%) of individuals who had symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection experienced at least 1 of the 3 Long COVID symptom clusters in 2020 and 2021, including 3.2% (95% UI, 0.6%-10.0%) for persistent fatigue with bodily pain or mood swings, 3.7% (95% UI, 0.9%-9.6%) for ongoing respiratory problems, and 2.2% (95% UI, 0.3%-7.6%) for cognitive problems after adjusting for health status before COVID-19, comprising an estimated 51.0% (95% UI, 16.9%-92.4%), 60.4% (95% UI, 18.9%-89.1%), and 35.4% (95% UI, 9.4%-75.1%), respectively, of Long COVID cases. The Long COVID symptom clusters were more common in women aged 20 years or older (10.6% [95% UI, 4.3%-22.2%]) 3 months after symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection than in men aged 20 years or older (5.4% [95% UI, 2.2%-11.7%]). Both sexes younger than 20 years of age were estimated to be affected in 2.8% (95% UI, 0.9%-7.0%) of symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections. The estimated mean Long COVID symptom cluster duration was 9.0 months (95% UI, 7.0-12.0 months) among hospitalized individuals and 4.0 months (95% UI, 3.6-4.6 months) among nonhospitalized individuals. Among individuals with Long COVID symptoms 3 months after symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection, an estimated 15.1% (95% UI, 10.3%-21.1%) continued to experience symptoms at 12 months. Conclusions and Relevance: This study presents modeled estimates of the proportion of individuals with at least 1 of 3 self-reported Long COVID symptom clusters (persistent fatigue with bodily pain or mood swings; cognitive problems; or ongoing respiratory problems) 3 months after symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Coverage of social assistance in Ethiopia during the COVID-19 pandemic: a time-to-event analysis.

OBJECTIVE: In a pandemic, government assistance is essential to support the most vulnerable households as they face health and economic challenges. However, government assistance is effective only when it reaches vulnerable households in time. In this paper, we estimated the timeliness of government assistance for the most vulnerable households (ie, the poor households) in Ethiopia during its COVID-19 response of 2020. In particular, we conducted a time-to-event analysis to compare the time to receive government assistance between poor and non-poor households in Ethiopia. METHODS: We used a semiparametric Cox proportional model to evaluate whether the time to first receipt of government assistance during the COVID-19 response in 2020 differed between poor and non-poor Ethiopian households. We used the Schoenfeld test to check the proportionality assumption and conducted the stratified Cox regression analysis to adjust for non-proportional variables. The data from World Bank's High-Frequency Phone Surveys on COVID-19 and the 2019 Ethiopian Socioeconomic Survey were used for this analysis. RESULTS: We found that the poor households in rural areas were 88% (HR: 1.88; 95% CI: 1.19 to 2.98) more likely to receive government assistance than non-poor households at any point within 10 months after the start of the pandemic. However, there was no significant difference between urban poor and non-poor households' likelihood of receiving government assistance during this timeframe. CONCLUSION: The Ethiopian government has leveraged its existing social protection network to quickly reach poor households in rural areas during the COVID-19 response of 2020. The country will need to continue strengthening and scaling the existing social protection systems to accurately target the wider vulnerable population in urban areas.

Perspectives of frontline health workers on transition from development assistance for health in Ghana: A qualitative study.

Many Low-income countries depend on development assistance for health (DAH) to finance the health sector. The transition of these countries to middle-income status has led to reduction in effective aid from development partners while these countries are expected to graduate from global funding agencies such as Gavi the vaccine alliance, with implications for service delivery. The aim of this study was to explore the perspectives of frontline health workers regarding the implications of Ghana's transition to middle-income status on service delivery, the likely impact and opportunities it presents to the country. This exploratory qualitative study employed in-depth interviews to collect data from 16 health workers at three hospitals in the Greater Accra Region; one at the regional level and two at the district level. The study was conducted from December 2019 to July 2020. Data from interviews were transcribed, coded and analysed using thematic analysis in NVivo Qualitative Analysis Software version 12. The level of awareness among frontline workers about the transition and decline in DAH was generally low. Nonetheless, frontline health workers perceived that the country seems inadequately prepared for transition as donors continue to be major financiers for the sector and even for emergencies such as the current COVID-19 global pandemic. Potential challenges facilities would face due to transition may include difficulty in funding health programs, human resource challenges and delays in logistics and medicines. The implications for these will be poor health outcomes, defective monitoring and evaluation, and lapses in training programs. In addition, the perceived barriers to transition identified were poor management of resources, political interference and lack of technical expertise. While opportunities such as improvement of the health sector prioritization and efficiency, private sector involvement and autonomy could be gained. Gaps in the health intervention monitoring resulting from DAH transition could pose affect health outcomes, particularly in respect of HIV, tuberculosis and malaria. The country's preparedness to transition from DAH could be better improved with development of a clear transition plan agreed by stakeholders, including government and in-country development partners. For the health sector, the eligibility for DAH transition should not simply be based on economic growth, but importantly on a country's ability to sustain ongoing and upcoming health programs.

Achieving global mortality reduction targets and universal health coverage: The impact of COVID-19.

Wenhui Mao and coauthors discuss possible implications of the COVID-19 pandemic for health aspirations in low- and middle-income countries.

COVID-19 control strategies in Taizhou city, China.

PROBLEM: On 21 January 2020, the city of Taizhou, China, reported its first imported coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) case and subsequently the number of cases rapidly increased. APPROACH: To organize the emergency responses, the government of Taizhou established on 23 January 2020 novel headquarters for prevention and control of the COVID-19 outbreak, by coordinating different governmental agencies. People at high risk of acquiring COVID-19, as well as probable and confirmed cases, were identified and quarantined. The government closed public venues and limited gatherings. The Taizhou Health Commission shared information about identified COVID-19 patients and probable cases with affected agencies. To timely track and manage close contacts of confirmed cases, Taizhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention did epidemiological investigations. Medical institutions or local centers for disease control and prevention reported confirmed cases to the national Center for Disease Control and Prevention. LOCAL SETTING: Taizhou, a city in Zhejiang province with about 6 million residents, reported 18 confirmed COVID-2019 cases by 23 January 2020, which ranked it third globally in number of cases after Wuhan and Xiaogan cities in the Hubei province. RELEVANT CHANGES: In total, 146 confirmed cases (85 cases imported and 61 cases through community transmission) and no deaths due to COVID-19 had been reported in Taizhou by 1 June 2020. Between 16 February and 1 June 2020, no confirmed case had been reported. LESSON LEARNT: Identifying and managing imported cases and people at risk for infection, timely information sharing, limiting gatherings and ensuring collaborations between different agencies were important in controlling COVID-19.